Ukraine's Deep Strike Campaign
The discussion covers Ukraine's deep strike campaign inside Russia, the ongoing fight over Crimea, and assessments of whether Moscow's war machine is cracking under pressure.
1Eyes on Geopolitics
Ukraine Strikes, NATO Summit, and Iran's Reconstitution
An analysis of Ukraine's campaign inside Russia, the strategic implications of the NATO summit, and the geopolitical shifts involving Iran and U.S.-Europe relations.
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Ukraine/Russia, NATO Summit & Iran Going Nowhere Fast | EYES ON GEOPOLITICS
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NATO Summit and U.S. Policy
The episode analyzes the NATO summit, highlighting Trump's unpredictable foreign policy process and the resulting policy confusion leading up to the event.
24Iran's Reconstitution
Coverage includes Iran's reconstitution following the ceasefire, noting that sanctions relief aids this process while negotiations drag on.
26U.S.-Europe Divergence
The analysis highlights the growing split between the U.S. and Europe, with European allies reportedly reading Truth Social for policy cues amid concerns over U.S. troop and asset cuts.
25Ask GenPod next
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“How do Ukraine's deep strikes impact Russia's fuel supply?”
“What are the implications of the U.S.-Europe split on NATO cohesion?”
“How does Iran's reconstitution affect Middle East negotiations?”
Background reading
The context behind the episode.
Ukraine-Russia Conflict
Strategic Targets in Russia
The episode details Ukraine's deep strikes inside Russia, including hits on Russia's fuel supply and the strategic isolation of Crimea. It also discusses the symbolic value of the Kerch Bridge and identifies the next major Russian energy target.
13Geopolitical Tensions
Iran and Regional Access
The discussion addresses Iran's reconstitution, the exposure of the U.S.-Europe split, and challenges related to access, basing, and overflight. It also covers intelligence failures, political bias, and the dynamics of selling a war in Iraq and Iran.
6Questions
Questions to carry into the episode.
Is Moscow's war machine cracking under pressure?
The episode explores whether Moscow's war machine is starting to crack under pressure from Ukraine's deep strike campaign and the fight over Crimea.
1How is the U.S. foreign policy process affecting NATO?
The analysis points to policy confusion before the NATO summit, driven by Trump's unpredictable foreign policy process and a broken NSC process.
246What is the impact of sanctions relief on Iran?
Sanctions relief helps Iran reconstitute its forces while negotiations drag on, contributing to the ongoing geopolitical tensions.
6Sources and disclosure
Where this guide comes from.
This guide is based on the episode 'Ukraine/Russia, NATO Summit & Iran Going Nowhere Fast | EYES ON GEOPOLITICS' from The Team House, published on 2026-07-06.
- Publisher show notes
We break down Ukraine’s deep strike campaign inside Russia, the fight over Crimea, and whether Moscow’s war machine is starting to crack under pressure.
- Publisher show notes
We also get into the NATO summit, Trump’s unpredictable foreign policy process, Iran’s reconstitution after the ceasefire, and the growing split between the U.S. and Europe.
- Publisher show notes
Support the show on Patreon:⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouse Marc's new article: https://engelsbergideas.com/author/sam-worby-marc-polymeropoulos/ Subscribe to our newsletter!!!! https://teamhousepodcast.kit.com/join Jack's news outlet:⬇️ https://thehighside.substack.com/ Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️ Jon's Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett Jon's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett Jon's books: https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6 Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️ Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and-porch-applied-stoicism/id1836955475 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxMLDwUSSd?si=n6piIu8XRcag1Z0K43A3bQ Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong Find Mick Mulroy here: Fogbow ⬇️ https://fogbow.com/ Lobo Institute ⬇️ https://www.loboinstitute.org/ Twitter ⬇️ https://x.com/mickmulroy?s=21&t=-Ze3F_Ix2vlJ18KFvORTCA LinkedIn ⬇️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52/ Bluesky ⬇️ https://bsky.app/profile/mickmulroy.bsky.social Mick’s publications ⬇️ https://www.loboinstitute.org/publications/publications-of-michael-mick-patrick-mulroy/ Whitefish security summit ⬇️ https://whitefishsecuritysummit.com Find Marc P here: https://x.com/Mpolymer Find Andy Milburn here: Twitter ⬇️ https://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8 LinkedIn ⬇️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023 Substack ⬇️ https://amilburn.substack.com/ Andy’s book ⬇️ https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations Bluesky ⬇️ https://bsky.app/profile/andy-milburn.bsky.social Find Jason Lyons here: LinkedIn ⬇️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-lyons-666873316?u Bluesky ⬇️ https://bsky.app/profile/bgsilverback73.bsky.social "Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio 00:00 — Start 01:22 — Ukraine’s Deep Strikes Inside Russia 04:28 — MAGA’s Shift on Ukraine and Israel 05:13 — Russia’s Fuel Supply Gets Hit 08:38 — Russia’s Grinding War in Donbas 11:51 — The Kerch Bridge and Crimea’s Symbolic Value 15:09 — Ukraine Is Isolating Crimea 17:22 — The Next Major Russian Energy Target 19:18 — Trump’s Calls With Putin and Zelensky 20:26 — Russia’s Political Theory of Victory 21:54 — U.S.
- Publisher show notes
Policy Confusion Before the NATO Summit 24:22 — Turkey, the F-35, and the S-400 Problem 26:12 — Europe Braces for U.S.
- Publisher show notes
Troop and Asset Cuts 28:17 — European Allies Reading Truth Social for Policy 30:49 — NATO, Ukraine Aid, and the Iran War Fallout 31:43 — U.S.
- Publisher show notes
Bases, Europe, and Access for War 34:44 — Iran Exposes the U.S.-Europe Split 37:53 — Access, Basing, and Overflight Problems 40:21 — Iraq, Iran, and Selling a War 46:40 — Intelligence Failures and Political Bias 50:47 — What to Expect From the NATO Summit 54:38 — Iran Rebuilds While Negotiations Drag On 57:09 — Why Sanctions Relief Helps Iran Reconstitute 58:54 — NATO’s Goals: Defense Spending, Ukraine, and Turkey 01:01:44 — Trump’s Unpredictable Foreign Policy Process 01:03:07 — The Broken NSC Process 01:07:14 — Closing Plugs and Final Thoughts
- Publisher show notes
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