The Bulwark Podcast

Iran Is Going to Make Trump Eat It

David Frum and Jonathan V. Last discuss the Iran conflict, Trump's perceived retreat, and the political dynamics facing Republican senators.

The episode argues that Trump's promises of military escalation in Iran are a disguise for a strategic retreat, while Republican senators fail to challenge him due to voter fear.

14
50 minJul 22, 2026The Bulwark Podcast

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David Frum and JVL: Iran Is Going to Make Trump Eat It

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Key takeaways

What to know before you press play.

01

Trump's Strategic Retreat in Iran

Trump's promises of increased bombing in Iran are interpreted as an attempt to disguise a strategic retreat from the conflict.

1
02

Iranian Resolve

The Iranian regime is expected to persist until they achieve a visible victory over Trump.

2
03

Contradictory Nuclear Deals

While the war aims to stop Iran's nuclear progress, a deal was cut with the Saudis for their own nuclear program.

3
04

Republican Senate Dynamics

Republican senators' failure to stand up to Trump is attributed to fear of his voters.

4

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Keep the question moving.

01

How does the Saudi nuclear deal impact US leverage in the Middle East?

02

What historical precedents exist for Republican senators yielding to presidential pressure?

03

How does the perception of retreat affect diplomatic negotiations with Iran?

Background reading

The context behind the episode.

Context

Political Accountability

The discussion questions whether the American people or the political system is more to blame for the country's ailments.

4

Questions

Questions to carry into the episode.

Why does the episode suggest Trump is retreating in Iran?

The episode suggests Trump's promises of more bombs are a disguise for a retreat.

1
What is the Iranian regime's goal in the conflict?

The Iranians aim to beat Trump until the whole world can see it.

2
How does the Saudi deal contradict the war's stated goals?

The war is ostensibly about stopping Iran's nuke, but a deal was cut for the Saudis' own nuclear program.

3
Why are Republican senators failing to stand up to Trump?

Their failure may be out of fear of Trump's voters.

4

Experts

Voices named in the source.

David Frum

Guest

5

Jonathan V. Last

Guest Host

5

Sources and disclosure

Where this guide comes from.

This guide is based on the episode 'David Frum and JVL: Iran Is Going to Make Trump Eat It' from The Bulwark Podcast, published on 2026-07-22.

  1. Publisher show notes

    Trump keeps promising more bombs and bigger explosions in Iran, but the regime knows he’s just trying to disguise his retreat.

  2. Publisher show notes

    And the Iranians are not going to back down until the whole world can see that they beat Trump.

  3. Publisher show notes

    Meanwhile, in the middle of a war that is ostensibly about stopping Iran from getting a nuke, POTUS just cut a deal with the Saudis for their own nuclear program.

  4. Publisher show notes

    Plus: The failure of Republican senators to stand up to Trump may be out of fear of his voters, and are the American people or our political system more to blame for what ails the country?

  5. Publisher show notes

    David Frum joins guest host Jonathan V. Last. Show notes:

  6. Publisher show notes

    • JVL's Triad on Trump being at war with himself • JVL's Triad, "Very Low-IQ Trump Too Stoopid to Win War" • David's pod episode with Jeffrey Goldberg • The latest episode of "The David Frum Show" • Nixon certifying JFK's election victory

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